The Harris Surge: Is Inflation Really a Deciding Factor?

When Biden was the frontrunner, high inflation negatively impacted his polling numbers against Trump. However, Harris`s recent entry as the Democratic nominee has significantly improved their odds, despite inflation remaining relatively unchanged. This raises questions about whether voters hold Harris less accountable for inflation compared to Biden.

Possible explanations include voters placing more blame on the president for economic issues, or that Biden`s declining popularity might be due to personal reasons rather than solely economic factors. Notably, even during the peak of inflation in 2022, Democrats performed better than expected in the midterm elections, suggesting that inflation might not be the primary driver of voter decisions. This scenario presents a favorable situation for Democrats, with Harris potentially benefiting from a clean slate, unburdened by Biden`s baggage.