The Harris Bump: Is Inflation Off the Table?

Initially, Biden`s expected 2024 reelection campaign was struggling due to voter dissatisfaction with inflation, putting him behind Trump in polls and market predictions. However, a hypothetical scenario where Biden drops out and Harris becomes the Democratic nominee sees her surpassing Trump, despite inflation remaining relatively unchanged. This raises questions about whether voters hold Harris less accountable for inflation than Biden, and whether other factors beyond the economy are influencing voter opinion. Some speculate that voters may attribute economic woes more to the president than the vice president, or that Biden`s declining popularity could be due to personal factors rather than solely the economy. This unexpected situation presents a potentially advantageous scenario for Democrats, with Harris seemingly unburdened by Biden`s baggage. This is notable because it suggests that even with high inflation in 2022, voters` economic concerns didn`t necessarily translate into votes against Democrats.