The Harris Effect: Why Bidens Exit Could Defy Inflations Political Toll

Initially, Biden trailed behind Trump in the polls as voters were unhappy with inflation. However, Harris replaced Biden as the Democratic presidential candidate and is now favored to win despite inflation remaining relatively unchanged. This suggests that voters may hold Biden more accountable for inflation than Harris, indicating that incumbency blame might be directed more towards the president than other officials. Additionally, voters` negative perception of Biden could be due to personal reasons rather than solely economic factors. This unexpected turn of events benefits Democrats, as Harris, a fresh candidate, is not weighed down by Biden`s baggage. Notably, even during the 2022 midterms when inflation was a major concern, Democrats performed better than expected, suggesting that economic dissatisfaction doesn`t necessarily translate to votes against the party in power.