The Harris Surge: Is Inflation Fading as a Decisive Factor?

Initially, Biden trailed behind Trump in the polls, with voters unhappy about inflation and financial markets predicting a Republican victory. However, after Biden`s hypothetical withdrawal and Harris`s nomination, she surged ahead of Trump despite similar inflation levels. This raises questions about whether voters hold Harris less accountable for inflation or if other factors are at play.

One theory is that voters primarily blame the president, Biden, for economic issues, giving Harris some leeway. Another possibility is that Biden`s declining popularity stems from personal perceptions rather than solely economic performance. Interestingly, despite high inflation in 2022, Democrats performed better than expected in the midterm elections, suggesting inflation might not be the sole determinant of voter decisions. This situation benefits Harris, providing her a clean slate without the burden of Biden`s baggage.